The Progressive Conservatives (PCs) may be on track to lose six seats in the 2019 provincial election, but they’re still on track for a solid majority in legislature. The party is also looking at receiving a majority of the popular vote province-wide.
Currently, the PCs sit just below a popular vote majority at 48.6 per cent, while the NDP sit second at 30.3 per cent. The Manitoba Liberal Party is third with 14.1 per cent, while the Green Party of Manitoba has 6.25 per cent of the popular vote. Smaller parties make up remaining less than one per cent.
In the 2015 provincial election, the PCs came away with 53 per cent of the popular vote and 40 seats in the legislature. So far, the PCs are on track to win 36 seats in the legislature. Only 29 seats are needed to form a majority in Manitoba.
The NDP has benefitted, upping their vote percentage. The NDP dropped 20 per cent between the 2011 and 2016 elections.